Особливості прогнозування кількості пилку амброзії в атмосферному повітрі Запоріжжя

Abstract

The amount of ambrosia pollen in the particular days can significantly differ from theaverage indicators under the influence of variousweather factors and there was no reliable correlationbetween the level of pollen and the intensity ofthe isolated factors. The mode of the influence ofparticular weather factors can change and even beopposite depending on the intensity or direction ofthe weather changes. The first attempt to calculatethe expected amount of pollen as a product of theaverage values and the coefficients of meteorologicalimpact showed a positive result. On the averagefor 10 years, the coefficient of the correlationbetween the level of pollen and forecast, made withthe help of proposed method, made up 0.8 ±0.06.Proposed method allows us to leave the subjectiveapproach and to calculate the allergic predictionbased on the weather forecast.